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🔍 Trump Pressures Fed Chair Powell Following ADP Job Loss


🔍 Trump Pressures Fed Chair Powell Following ADP Job Loss

Overview of the Clash


🔥 What Trump Said & How He Said It


📊 Data & Market Implications

  • The weak ADP jobs figure boosted expectations of earlier-than-expected Fed action, pushing gold higher as investors anticipated a dovish shift yahoo.com+15reuters.com+15reuters.com+15.

  • Yet Powell responded firmly, reiterating a data-driven approach, saying cuts depend on incoming economic stats—including jobs, inflation, and tariff policies thetimes.co.uk+2reuters.com+2reuters.com+2.

  • Market sentiment: Treasury yields eased as traders digested the clash between political pressure and central bank prudence linkedin.com.


⚠️ Stakes & Risks for the Fed’s Independence

  • The campaign against Powell reignites concern over politicization of the Fed, raising alarm among institutional investors and reserve managers yahoo.com+15reuters.com+15reuters.com+15.

  • Trump hinted at potentially replacing Powell in 2025—prompting speculation about appointing a “shadow chair” or installing a more dovish candidate, which could unsettle inflation expectations and shake bond markets marketwatch.com+2businessinsider.com+2reuters.com+2.


🗓️ What to Watch Next

EventWhy It Matters
July 2 Nonfarm PayrollsADP is volatile—official BLS numbers will heavily influence Fed outlook
July 9 Tariff DeadlineNew tariffs could put upward pressure on inflation, counter to rate cuts
Fed Meeting July 29–30A critical moment: Powell could affirm or dismiss July cut expectations

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